REC trade result – November 2018

This month trading session saw a good price discovery for both solar & non-solar RECs. The market saw a significant price hike in solar as compared to last month. The demand for both solar & non-solar remained consistent while the supply remained limited. As we approach the year-end, the obligated entities are in the process to comply with their obligations and hence the higher demand in order to not face any penalties for non-compliance. However, the highlight of this month’s trade was that solar crossed the floor price of INR 1,000.

Non-Solar: This session the RECs were traded at the price of INR 1260 at PXIL (26.0% above the floor price) and INR 1252 at IEX (25.2% above the floor price). A total of 4,46,861 RECs were traded in this session leaving an inventory of 20,43,871 Non-Solar RECs. (However, a significant portion of these do not participate in trading as they would either be owned by Discom’s or are for self-retention).

Solar: Total number of solar RECs traded in this session was 58,877 (368% decrease from the last months’ trade). The clearing ratio was 100% at PXIL & 100% at IEX respectively (w.r.t floor price). RECs traded at the floor price, i.e. INR 1051 at PXIL and at Rs 1101 at IEX.

The overall trade volume (5,05,738 RECs) decreased by almost 39.05% from the last months’ trade volume (7,03,256  RECs).

CERC extends expiry date for RECs due to expire

The CERC had issued an order extending the validity of Renewable Energy Certificates (REC) which were to expire between 15th May 2018 – 30th October 2018, up to 30th October 2018. There has now been an extension in the expiry of these RECs till 30th March 2019. A summary of the RECs likely to expire between 31st October 2018 to 31st October 2019.

Since the past year, the shelf life of the RECs has surpassed its expiry life of one year due to high supply but limited demand. Only post-November 2017 there has been a generous market realization of RECs (both solar and non-solar). Des[ite of this and the lack of enforcement there was a petition filed to extend the expiry of the RECs.

From the above inventory, it is evident that 1,83,999 RECs which have been issued prior to 01.04.2017 are due to expire within the next six months. This includes 38,651 Solar RECs and 1,45,348 Non Solar RECs. Hence the Commission is of the view that there is a need to extend the validity of RECs which are due to expire up to 31.03.2019.

The Commission in exercise of Power under Regulation 15 of REC Regulations has extended the validity of RECs which are due to expire between 31st October 2018 and 31st March 2019 up to 30th April 2019. Accordingly, RECs which are due to expire between 31st October 2018 and 31st March 2019 will remain valid up to 30th April 2019.

 

REC Trade Result – September 2018

Non-Solar: The shortage of Non-solar RECs continues in the current session of September 2018. This session the RECs were traded at the price of INR 1300 at PXIL (30% above the floor price) and INR 1100 at IEX (10% above the floor price). A total of 3,45,576 RECs were traded in this session leaving an inventory of 18,83,673 Non-Solar RECs.

Solar: Total number of solar RECs traded in this session was 15,58,062 (220% increase from the last months’ trade). The clearing ratio was 37.10% at PXIL & 100% at IEX respectively (w.r.t floor price). RECs traded at the floor price, i.e. INR 1000 at PXIL and IEX both respectively. This was the highest ever Solar REC trade by volume, and the second time in the history of REC trading, where the solar REC trading volume surpassed 10 lakh, leaving behind an inventory of just 7,82,333 Solar RECs.

The overall trade volume (19,03,638 RECs) increased by almost 132% from the last months’ trade volume (8,19,608 RECs). In the last six months, this trading session has recorded the highest clearance to issuance ratio.

REC Trade Results – May 2018

In both Solar and Non-solar RECs, demand was robust, considering that this was only the second trading session of the new financial year.

Analysis of Trading:

Non-Solar – Non-solar RECs inventory was not completely exhausted in the May 2018 trading session (15,51,691 RECs were retained of 43,44,976).  A total of 401214 RECs were traded, despite demand being at 629069 (as compared to 538,371 RECs traded April 2017; an increase of 16.84%). RECs traded at the floor price of Rs 1,000/ REC at PXIL but increased to Rs 1,010/ REC at IEX.

Solar – A total of 914412  RECs were traded this month (Increase of 4.4% over April 2017). Clearing ratio for both non-solar and solar stood well.

The below graph depicts the Clearing ratio trend of Non-solar and Solar. In case of Non-solar, the clearance was 86.25% at IEX and 94.23% at PXIL and for solar, the clearance was at 14.20% and 23.38% in IEX and PXIL respectively

 

CERC gives a positive nod to extend the validity on RECs

CERC recently announced in its order dated 15th May 2018 that the RECs will be valid till 30th October 2018, which were otherwise expired/likely to be expired between 1st April 2018 and 15th October 2018.

The commission declared this in accordance to its power under Regulation 15 of REC regulations.

The extension related dates are as below:

Duration

Status of RECs

Validity as per the order

1st April 2018 to 14th May 2018

Expired

Extended till 30th October 2018

15th May 2018 to 30th October 2018

Likely to be expired

Extended till 30th October 2018

The issues which were prevailing since early 2017 and saw petitions from various parties seems to have finally come to rest.

More than 10 lakh RECs (9,52,533 Solar RECs; 1,09,520 Non-Solar RECs) were being affected due to the pending petitions. Majority of these RECs were solar which saw a halt in trading for almost 11 months since 8th May 2017.

Since ApTel was in the reviewing process of the petitions, the commission could not take any action on the extension of REC validity before 31st March 2018.

ApTel in its judgment as on 12th March 2018 has disposed all the petitions and upheld the commission’s order dated 30th March 2017 to continue the REC Floor and Forbearance Price applicable from 1st April 2017 onwards.

 The Commission was of the view that there was a requirement to extend the validity since the appeals were dismissed by the ApTel and there was no stay.

Earlier, the commission extended the validity up to 31 st March 2018 which was expired between 1st October 2017 and 31st March 2018 based on Supreme Court’s order dated 29.09.2017 on seeking necessary direction for extension of the validity of RECs.

Based on the recent order, the expired RECs will be added back to the seller’s account which was then removed by NLDC till 31.03.2018.

As per the recent trade dated 25th April 2018 on IEX and PXIL after a halt of a year, the clearance was as below:

Trading portal

Solar

Non-solar

IEX

6,44,151

1,36,979

PXIL

2,30,967

50,564

REC TRADE RESULTS MARCH 2018

For the first time after 2012, the total demand in REC (Non-Solar Segment) market exceeded the supply available. The trade session in March 2018 also ended the dry run that REC Market has been under since 2012 with 100% clearance on both the Power Exchanges!

Non-solar demand was significantly higher than in March 2017, and also last month. In total 27.69 lakh RECs were traded (211.63% higher than March 2017, and 17.43% higher than in February 2018), and clearing ratios on IEX and PXIL were 100% and 100% respectively. Total traded value was Rs 415 crores (This value is calculated considering the rate of Rs 1500 per REC out of which Rs 1000 go to the generator and Rs 500 goes to CERC).

Trading of solar RECs continues to be suspended due to the stay imposed by the Supreme Court.

 

This value is calculated considering the rate of Rs 1500 per REC out of which Rs 1000 go to the generator and Rs 500 goes to CERC

REC TRADE RESULTS FEBRUARY 2018

Non-solar demand was significantly higher than inFebruary 2017, and also last month. In total 23.58 lakh RECs were traded (125.85% higher than February 2017, and 91.61% higher than in January 2018), and clearing ratios on IEX and PXIL were 19.84% and 69.80% respectively. Total traded value was Rs 353 crores*.

REConnect shifted its major volume on PXIL in a timely manner this trade session due to higher demand as compared to IEX.

The written submission for the case on stay of trading of solar RECs has been done and the judgment is reserved.

*This value is calculated considering the rate of Rs 1500 per REC out of which Rs 1000 go to the generator and Rs 500 goes to CERC

Trading of solar RECs continues to be suspended due to the stay imposed by the Supreme Court.

REC TRADE RESULTS JANUARY 2018

Non-solar demand was marginally lower than in January 2017, and also significantly than last month. However, it must be kept in mind that last month traded volumes were at a record high, and overall, this year has seen significantly higher demand.

In total 12.30 lakh RECs were traded (19.04% lower than January 2017, and 76.41% lower than in December 2017), and clearing ratios on IEX and PXIL were 7.83% and 30.55% respectively. Total traded value was Rs 184 crores*.
REConnect shifted its major volume on PXIL in a timely manner this trade session due to higher demand, resulting in higher clearing.
Trading of solar RECs continues to be suspended due to the stay imposed by the Supreme Court.
*This value is calculated considering the rate of Rs 1500 per REC out of which Rs 1000 go to the generator and Rs 500 is retained by CERC

REC TRADE RESULTS DECEMBER 2017

This month’s trading session saw highest ever trade in the REC markets – 2nd time in a row after the record trading session last month. Non-solar demand was significantly higher than in December 2016, and also last month. In total 52.17 lakh RECs were traded (1,136% higher than December 2016, and 136% higher than in November 2017), and clearing ratios on IEX and PXIL were 46.09% and 58.15% respectively.  Total traded value was Rs 782 crores.

The increase in traded volumes have been driven by demand from both Discom’s and captive generators. Several regulatory commissions have issued orders and notices in the recent past. This trend is expected to continue into the last quarter of the financial year.

Trading of solar RECs continues to be suspended due to the stay imposed by the Supreme Court.

REC TRADE RESULTS NOVEMBER 2017

Non-solar demand was significantly higher than inNovember 2016, and also higher than last month. In total 22.07 lakh RECs were traded (745% higher than November 2016, and 353% higher than in October 2017), and clearing ratios on IEX and PXIL were 19.39% and 13.33% respectively. The increase in the number of RECs traded was partly because of the push by DISCOMs towards RPO compliance.

Trading of solar RECs  has been suspended due to the stay imposed by the Supreme Court.

 
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