Ministry of Power sets green energy targets for State Discoms

The Ministry of Power has issued guidelines, for long term growth trajectory for RPO of Non solar as well as for Solar. Though the guidelines have been issued, the final targets will be set by each individual state’s electricity regulatory commission (SERC).

In order to achieve the target of 1, 75,000 MW of renewable capacity by March, 2022, MNRE has notified the RPO uniformly for all States/ UTs initially for three years from 2016-17 to 2018-19 as given in the table below:

 

 

State Discoms will have to mandatorily draw at least 2.75% of their total power consumption from solar plants in the current fiscal, according to the renewable purchase obligation (RPO) norms laid down by the power ministry. Considering this proposed regulatory changes and stricter enforcement by states FY2016-17 is expected to bring a good fortune to the REC Market.

 

The article can be accessed here.

REC Trade Result July 2016

In contrast to June 2016, which saw huge demand for both Non-solar and Solar RECs, this month trading did not fare that well.  This month trading saw a dip in the demand for both Solar and Non-Solar RECs. The demand though increased twice the amount in comparison to July 2015.  The total transaction value stood at roughly half as compared to previous month, i.e. 40 Crores as compared to 80 Crores last month.

Analysis of Trading:

Non Solar – Clearing ratio in exchange stood at 1.91% and 1.69 % in IEX and PXIL respectively for Non Solar REC’s.

Solar – Clearing ratio stood good at 1.17% and 0.97% in IEX and PXIL respectively.

The graphs are given below:

 

 

REC Trade Result June 2016

This month trading saw a huge surge in the demand for both Solar and Non-Solar RECs. The demand rose approximately 2.5 times for both non-solar and solar, while also registering good clearing ratios at both the exchanges, as compared to June 2015. The total transaction value stood at roughly 80 Crores as compared to 31.5 Crores last month.

The positive movement in demand can be attributed to the order of UERC on 20th of June, wherein they have directed all obligated entities to strictly fulfil their RPO obligation of FY 2015-16, by July 2016. This month also saw marginal fall in total REC issuance, and despite the rise in total sell bids, the market showed positive signs of recovery. We expect the other states to enforce RPO more strictly in the months to come.

 

Analysis of Trading:

 

Non Solar – Clearing ratio in exchange stood at 4.01% and 1.50 % in IEX and PXIL respectively for Non Solar REC’s. A total of 417,426 RECs were traded as compared to 161,858 RECs traded in May.

 

Solar – Clearing ratio stood good at 1.24% and 2.28% in IEX and PXIL respectively, with total clearing volume being 2.5 times of the previous month.

 

The detailed result is tabled below:

The positive movement in demand can be attributed to the order of UERC on 20th of June, wherein they have directed all obligated entities to strictly fulfil their RPO obligation of FY 2015-16, by July 2016. This month also saw marginal fall in total REC issuance, and despite the rise in total sell bids, the market showed positive signs of recovery. We expect the other states to enforce RPO more strictly in the months to come.

 

We are hopeful that the FY 2016-17 will bring good fortune to the REC market, considering the proposed regulatory changes and more stricter enforcement by states, which will bring back stakeholders confidence.

 

 

 

REC Trade Result May 2016

May 2016 saw reduced traded volumes compared to last month and from May 2015. Generally early months of the compliance year see significantly reduced trading volumes. However, May 2015 saw high trading volume due to the Supreme Court order on RPO compliance.

Compared to last month, this month saw a reduction of demand by approximately 44.3% and 21.7%, for non-solar and solar respectively. The total transaction value stood at 31.5 Crores as compared to 113 Crores last month.

This month also saw significant rise in total REC issuance, which stood more than double of what it was last month. However, while solar issuance fell marginally, there was a steep rise in issuance of non-solar RECs. This also resulted in increased quantum of Sell bids at the exchanges.

Analysis of Trading:

Non Solar – Clearing ratio in exchange stood at 1.15% and 1.38% in IEX and PXIL respectively for Non Solar REC’s. A total of 161,858 RECs were traded as compared to 290,457 RECs traded in April.

Solar – Clearing ratio stood good at 0.61% and 0.41% in IEX and PXIL respectively, with total clearing volume falling marginally as compared to last month.

 

The graph below is a Y-o-Y graph which depicts the comparison of REC Traded from May 2014 to May 2015 and May 2015 to May 2016.

 

 

 

REC Trade Result April 2016

April, being the first month of the Financial Year to, saw good demand in both segments, as compared to the April-2015. The total transaction value stood at 113 Crores as compared to 213 Crores last month.

 

Analysis of Trading:

 

Non Solar – Clearing ratio in exchange stood at 2.66% and 1.38% in IEX and PXIL respectively for Non Solar REC’s. A total of 290,457 RECs were traded as compared to 11, 14,319 RECs traded in March.

 

Solar – Clearing ratio stood good at 0.98% and 0.26% in IEX and PXIL respectively, with total clearing volume of 25,653, as compared to 152,006 last month.

 

The detailed result is given below:

The graph below is a Y-o-Y graph which depicts the comparison of REC Traded from April 2014 to April 2015 and April 2015 to April 2016.

 

This month also saw significant fall in REC issuance to almost one-third to what it was in March. This can be primarily attributed to the recent amendment to principal REC Regulation, which has caused reduction in supply of RECs to the market from Captive/Self-consuming RE entities. For more details refer our blog.

We are hopeful that the FY 2016-17 will bring good fortune to the REC market, considering the proposed regulatory changes and more stricter enforcement by states, which will bring back stakeholders confidence.

Maharashtra Published RPO Regulations for FY 2016-17 to FY 2019-20

Maharashtra published RPO regulations covering the period FY 2016-17 to FY 2019-20. The highlights of the regulation are:

 

  • RPO % in FY 2016-17 is 11% in total (10% non-solar and 1% solar). This will increase to 15% by FY 2019-20 (11.5% non-solar and 3.5% solar)

 

  • The regulations are broadly in line with the standard regulations of RPO across various states, except the following clauses:

 

  • RPO is no longer exempt on co-generation power. The Statement of Reasons (SOR) accompanying the regulations refers to the National Tariff Policy as a reason for removing exemption from RPO on co-gen power.

 

  • RPO is applicable only on consumption of conventional power. This is a significant deviation as the Electricity Act/ CERC/ other states require calculation of RPO on “total consumption”. By leaving out RE power from RPO calculation, Maharashtra risks providing double benefit to RE generators – it is possible that a consumer that consumes power from RE sources does not attract RPO provisions and at the same time claims offset of such RE power towards meeting RPO on conventional power.

 

  • RPO is applicable on CPPs with installed capacity of 5MW or more and open access consumers with a contract demand of 5 MVA or more. This will leave out significant open access and captive capacity form the ambit of RPO applicability.

The regulation can be accessed here.

REC Trade Result March 2016

March, being the last month of the Financial Year to fulfil the yearly RPO obligations, saw significant rise in demand in both the Solar and Non-Solar segments, as compared to the last three months. Non-Solar RECs demand almost doubled and Solar RECs demand rose by 68.45%, as compared to February. This was the result of stricter compliance and can also be attributed to the recent Ad by MNRE asking all entities to fulfil their obligation. The total transaction value stood at 213.3 Crores as compared to 119.5 Crores last month.

Analysis of Trading:

Non Solar – Clearing ratio in exchange stood at 7.65% and 8.93% in IEX and PXIL respectively for Non Solar REC’s. A total of 11, 14,319 RECs were traded as compared to 586,501 RECs traded in February. Overall, it was a good recovery in this segment, which also saw the closing Inventory come down marginally.

Solar – Clearing ratio stood good at 5.07% and 3.35% in IEX and PXIL respectively, with total clearing volume of 152,006, as compared to 90,236 last month. The recovery was good, but contrary to the Non-Solar inventory, the solar inventory showed no reduction.

 

As compared to March-2015, where the Non-Solar and Solar demand stood at 654985 and 68982 respectively, it was 70% and 120% higher for Non-Solar and solar respectively, in March-2016. However, the closing inventory for the FY stands at 13.28 million and 3.31 million for Non-Solar and Solar respectively, worth close to Rs. 3151 Crores. April-2015 trading saw huge clearance due to late fulfillment of obligations, and the same can be expected next month as well.

We are hopeful that the FY 2016-17 will bring good fortune to the REC market, considering the proposed regulatory changes and more stricter enforcement by states, which will bring back stakeholders confidence.

MNRE Issues Notice on RPO compliance

The Ministry of New and Renewable Energy in collaboration with Government of India has made a great initiative by spreading the message about RPO and the need for its compliance through Times of India.  The Government highlights that all the obligated entities must comply with their RPO by March 15-16 since this trading session will be the last trading session of the compliance year, whose result calls for stricter enforcement by states. The Times of India’s article can be viewwd below

REC Trade Result February 2016

RECs demand has shown significant improvement over last month trading session. Non Solar REC’s and Solar REC’s traded this month were 70% higher and 57% higher respectively, compared to trading session of January 2016. The total transaction value of REC’s hit a sum total of Rs 119.5 crore, compared to Rs. 71.78 crore last month.

Analysis of Trading:

Non Solar – Clearing ratio in exchange stood at 3.89% and 4.75% in IEX and PXIL respectively for Non Solar REC’s. A total of 586,501 were traded as compared to 344,519 RECs traded in January, but much lower than the volume cleared in December trading session.

Solar – Clearing ratio stood good at 2.14% and 3.58% in IEX and PXIL respectively, with total clearing volume of 90,236, as compared to 57,420 last month. The increase is significant, with much better performance expected next month.

 

Trading volumes are expected to increase significantly during March trading session, as most obligated entities will want to fulfill their obligation for the FY. This trading session results are encouraging, considering last month performances, riding on higher demand on both exchanges. However, compared to the trading session of February 2015, where Non-Solar and Solar clearing volume stood at 747,487 & 44,869 respectively, the performance of Non-Solar RECs was below par whereas Solar RECs demand more than doubled.

 

The trade result for the month of January can be accessed here.

NLDC Invites Comments for bi-monthly REC Trading Session

National Load Dispatch Centre has invited comments and suggestions, on the REC Procedure considering bi-monthly REC trading sessions, by 1st March 2016 to the Central Agency. The following modification has been proposed for the “Procedure for Redemption of REC’s”:

  • All valid RECs excluding the RECs applied for Self-retention shall be traded on the second and last Wednesday of every month.
  • The eligible entity shall exclude the RECs applied for self-retention in the particular month, if applicable, for dealing on Power Exchange.

It’s a much needed step by NLDC as it enhances the platform for a better market price discovery. This change would be beneficial for the generators and to the obligated entities, since if the RECs are not traded in the current month, they would not have to wait for an entire month to clear the REC’s.

Also it would promote the developers to meet their RPO as we have seen many regulatory actions coming up in the form of compliance orders and proceedings in several states like Orissa, Kerala, MP and Maharashtra recently.

We also feel that the bi-monthly REC trading could be intensified if quarterly or at least half yearly compliance of RPO is made compulsory instead of yearly. This would push the obligated entities more to gear up and fulfill their obligation and thus benefit the REC market.

 

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