REC Trade Results – June 2015

The June trade session remained below expectations compared to May’15 month performance. However, if we compare the performance with Jun’14, the response was still far better. After the announcement of an important judgment by Supreme Court, the market looks upbeat and we can expect better demand in upcoming trade sessions.

Analysis of Trading:

Non-Solar – Total 161,845 RECs were cleared in this trading session. IEX and PXIL had a clearing ratio of 1.6% and 0.84% respectively. Total RECs redeemed this month was approx. 1 Lakh RECs lower w.r.t May’15.

Solar - RECs redeemed this month remained at 23,648 RECs. The clearing ratio was 1.4% and 0.17% in IEX and PXIL respectively. Solar REC traded this month were approximately 60 (sixty) thousand lower w.r.t to May trading session.

The REC trade results in the FY 2015-16 are summarized below for your reference.

ApTel directs SERCs to comply with RPO regulations

The Appelate Tribunal (ApTel) gave its judgment in a petition filed by various association asking the Aptel to give directions to the State Electricity Regulatory Commissions (SERCs) to comply with RPO regulations.

The order is likely to make the routine carry forward and waiver of RPO that has been observed in the last few years much more difficult.

The ApTel has observed that several SERCs are not complying with the RPO regulations. The order states:

“While we accept that a number of State Commissions have been monitoring the compliance of the RPO Regulations by the obligated entities as per their Regulations, in some States it is not being done regularly. We find that some State Commissions do not have compliance status even for FY 2012-13. Some State Commissions have not responded to the notice and have not filed any response. It is also borne out by submissions made by Ministry of New and Renewable Energy and the Central Commission that many obligated entities have not been fulfilling their RPOs and are also not resorting to purchase of REC which has been provided for in the Regulations as a valid instrument for fulfilling the RPO. Some of the State Commissions have been allowing carry forward of the RPO even though RECs are available, in violation of their own Regulations.”

 In the order, the ApTel gave several directions to the SERCs:

  • Directions have been given regarding the setting up of RPO and regular review of the same
  • Carry forward and review shall be done as per the RPO regulations. The order further states:

“If the Regulations recognise REC mechanism as a valid instrument to fulfill the RPO, the carry forward/review should be allowed strictly as per the provisions of the Regulations keeping in view of availability of REC”

and

“In case of default in fulfilling of RPO by obligated entity, the penal provision as provided for in the Regulations should be exercised”

  • Power to relax and remove difficult should be used judiciously. The order states:

“The provisions in Regulations like power to relax and power to remove difficulty should be exercised judiciously under the exceptional circumstances, as per law and should not be used routinely to defeat the object and purpose of the Regulations”

The ApTel order can be read here.

ApTel order on waiver of RPO by GERC

In its order pertaining to FY 2012-13, GERC had waived or exempted obligated entities from RPO. In doing so, GERC has ignored the availability of RECs, and also reduced RPO differentially for each obligated entity, to the extent met by them. In earlier years, GERC had rolled-forward the RPO.

The Aptel found several inconsistencies with the approach of GERC. In the order it stated:

  • RPO can be revised, but effort to comply has to be demonstrated. The order states:

“The State Commission can revise the RPO before or during a year or after passing of year under Regulation 4.2 of RE Regulation 2010 as explained under paragraphs 47 to 51 above. If the distribution licensee has not made efforts to procure requisite renewable energy to fulfill the RPO and also has not procured REC, the State Commission should not revise RPO under Regulation 4.2. However, while revising the RPO targets, the State commission has to ensure that such revision should not defeat the object of the Electricity Act and the Regulations.”

  • If RPO are revised due to inadequate capacity addition in the state, such revision has to be uniform for all obligated entities.
  • RPO cannot be carried forward when RECs are available. The order states:

“…before exercising power order Regulation 9, the State Commission has to satisfy itself that there was difficulty in meeting the RPO from purchase of REC. Therefore, non-availability of REC is a pre-conditition for carry forward under Regulation 9.”

The detailed order can be read here

REC Trade Results April 2015

We are pleased to share the Result of REC trading for the month of April-15.

  • Solar RECs – Overall market clearance remained poor this time, with very low demand at both exchanges. Demand saw a dip from 68,982 last month to 8,522 this time, and this was expected in the first month trading of FY 2015-16. Market clearing ratio was very low, 0.68% in IEX and 0.23% in PXIL, with overall clearing ratio standing at 0.48% compared to 0.54% during April-14.
  • Non Solar REC market expectedly dipped from 654,985 last month to a very low figure of 55,612 RECs this month. The clearing ratio was good relatively better on IEX, but the overall market clearing ration of 0.52% stood well below 1.4% during April-2014.

The REC trade results in the FY 2014-15 is summarized below for your reference.

Non-Solar

Solar

 

Team REConnect

MERC relaxes RPO compliance for BEST

MERC had notified the Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission (Renewable Purchase Obligation, its Compliance and Implementation of Renewable Energy Certificate Framework) Regulations, 2010 (‘RPO-REC Regulations’) on 7 June, 2010. As per this regulation, following are the RPO targets for all obligated entities;

Non-Solar*:  The regulation also states that, all obligated entities shall on mandatory basis, purchase from Mini Hydro or Micro Hydro power projects, to the tune of 0.1 % of Non-Solar RPO from FY 2010-11 to FY 2012-13 and 0.2% from FY 2013-14 to FY 2015-16.

BEST has fulfilled its Non-Solar (including Mini Hydro or Micro Hydro) RPO compliance cumulatively till FY 2013-14 showing a small surplus, however it has a huge shortfall of close to 59.46% in meeting its Solar RPO target cumulatively till FY 2013-14.

The commission has appreciated the suggestion of PXIL for quarterly fulfillment of RPO, but has gone ahead in stating that it is currently considering shortfalls on merit basis by allowing fulfillment on cumulative basis by the end of FY.

Earlier in Case No.181 of 2013, the commission had given BEST a relaxation by not imposing Regulatory Charges on BEST for their Solar RPO shortfall during FY 2010-11 to FY 2012-13 and had relaxed/waived Solar RPO targets for FY 2010-11 and FY 2011-12. Similarly, they have decided that Regulatory Charges shall not apply on BEST for FY 2013-14, and that all cumulative shortfalls should be fulfilled by 2015-16, i.e. by 31st March 2016.

Considering 4900 MUs to be the average consumption for BEST, for FY 2014-15 and FY 2015-16, the cumulative Solar RPO target for FY 2014-15 & FY 2015-16, including the cumulative shortfall of 36.08 MUs till FY 2013-14, should stand somewhere around 85 MUs.

For more details on the order click here.

Rec Trade Results March 2015

We are pleased to share the Result of REC trading for the month of March-15.

  • Solar RECs – Overall market clearance remained optimistic this time, with good demand at PXIL and overall good clearance at both the exchanges. Demand rose from close to 44,869 last month to 68,982 this time, albeit the huge inventory still left to be carried over to the next FY. Market clearing ration also improved significantly over previous month, but not convincing as compared to March 2014, where the clearing ratio was 7.37%.
  • Non Solar REC market unexpectedly dipped from 747,487 last month to 654,985 RECs this month due to some states allowing carry forward of RECs to next FY. The clearing ratio was good, but considering that in March last year it was 12.03%, it was significantly lower. Inventory continues to pile up, and has reached an overwhelming figure of close to 10.5 million.

Comparing trading volumes this quarter with the corresponding quarter last year provide a better picture of the REC markets. In the last quarter of FY 2013-14 approximately 13.5 Lakh REC’s were redeemed whereas this quarter of FY 2014-15, approximately 20 Lakh REC’s have been redeemed  - an increase of approx. 48 %.

The REC trade results in the FY 2014-15 is summarized below for your reference.

Non-Solar RECs

 

Solar RECs

 

REConnect Energy is the market leader in the REC Market in India, with 36% market share and a portfolio of over 3 GW RE. We have been recently acknowledged with the REC Trader of the Year 2014.

Team REConnect

REC Trade Results Feb 2015

We are pleased to share the Result of REC trading for the month of FEB-15.

  • Solar RECs – Overall market clearance remained optimistic this time, with steep rise in demand at PXIL and overall good clearance at both the exchanges. Demand rose from close to 30000 last month to 44,869 this time, albeit the huge inventory waiting to be cleared.
  • Non Solar REC market also showed good signs of improvement with total of 747,487 Non-Solar RECs getting cleared in today’s trade session, compared to 537,009 in the last trading session.

Detailed trade results are tabled below for your kind reference.

Non-Solar RECs

Solar RECs

REConnect Energy is the market leader in the REC Market in India, with 36% market share and a portfolio of over 3 GW RE. We have been recently acknowledged with the REC Trader of the Year 2014.

Team REConnect

 

 

CERC: REC Regulation 3rd Amendment

We are pleased to inform that Hon’ble CERC has finalized a much awaited 3rd Amendment on REC Mechanism. The Central Commission has laid out following changes through this legislation/order:

REC Regulation (3rd Amendment) | Order on Vintage Multipler |  Statement of Objects & Reasons

DISCOMs to get RECs for surplus green power they would have procured. However, this is applicable only if such DISCOM has procured green power over and above RPO target set under NAPCC or National Tariff Policy or by Appropriate Commission WHICHEVER IS HIGHER. Further, before granting RECs for surplus green power, any shortfall in RPO or any carry forward in RPO granted by Commission in PREVIOUS THREE YEARs would be adjusted first before issuance of RECs to such DISCOM. Provided further, such DISCOM would need permission from appropriate commission to procure such green power.

Implications: This provision clearly brings clear incentives for DISCOM having procured higher amount of green power beyond their RPO targets. However, since the proviso brings forth conditionality of “higher of NAPCC, Tariff Policy or State Commission mandated RPO target”, DISCOM would have to align themselves first with all the three RPO targets. We can say that the Center would now have a greater say in directing RPO trajectory which was missing so far.

Pre-Term reduction in Solar Floor/Forbearance Price. The new Floor price now stands at Rs.3500/MWh and Forbearance Price at Rs.5800/MWh.

Vintage Multiplier for Solar RECs has been introduced. Solar projects registered under REC Mechanism after 1st Jan, 2015 would get 1 REC for every MWh of generation. Projects registered before that would get 2.66 RECs for every MWh of energy.

Implications: This proviso brings clear divide between projects that are already registered and projects which would get registered under REC mechanism from today onwards. Since the reduction of REC price would bring additional demand, the sudden spike in supply of REC would again result into subdued/depressed clearance ratio of Solar RECs.

With the current inventory of 5.8 Lac RECs available, we can expect the inventory to shoot to about 15.5 Lac Solar RECs immediately. Further, with 538 MW Solar PV capacity already registered under REC, the inventory pile up can increase rapidly given the multiplier effect.

Differential treatment of Captive/CGP and OA based REC generator has been kept in abeyance.  Hon’ble commission has kept the decision to grant reduced number of RECs to OA/Captive based REC Generator in ABEYANCE and has directed staff to come up with a fresh discussion paper to accommodate the same.

The Hindu Business Line quoted – “ The CERC notification lowering the price band is significant because the previous band did not serve any purpose. Even the floor price (Rs 9,300 per REC) was very high. Since one REC is issued for every megawatt-hour of electricity generated, the floor price translated to Rs 9.30 per unit of solar power. Nobody would buy an REC at this price because any obligated entity would find it cheaper to buy solar energy, which is now available at between Rs 6 and Rs 7 a unit, rather than buy a solar REC paying Rs 9.30. The solar industry had been clamoring for a downward revision of the band”. The same can be read in the media article here.

Regulation (Suo Motu Order), Notification and Statement of Reasons can be accessed.

The same has been mentioned in a media article here.

 

REC Trade Report of December Trading Session

Non Solar RECs

In November 2014, demand improved substantially over the previous month, closing over 3 Lakh. Clearing ratios showed significant improvement over the last month. The closing balance of REC inventory for Non- Solar RECs did not show much rise. Issuance has been generally high in the last quarter. Trading is expected to show significant improvement over the next 3 months. Clearing price remained glued to 1500.

 

Solar RECs

This trading session, demand almost doubled over previous month, rallying behind good demand from some states, albeit it remained very low considering the huge inventory. Clearing ratio rose marginally on both IEX and PXIL. Demand showed good signs of recovery, and with the recent amendment to the REC mechanism, Floor price of Solar RECs being reduced to Rs 3500 from previous Rs 9300 per REC, the demand for Solar is expected to skyrocket in the coming 3 months. Clearing price remained at 9300.

Contributed By: Team REConnect

Media coverage: Bloomberg

REC Trading Report November-2014

REC trading session of Nov -14 was conducted on 26th Nov 2014.  Below is a summary of the result:-

The Total Transaction of RECs were around 300 Million INR in current Trading session.

As inferred from closing and opening balance of REC inventory, it shows huge gap which is implying the overall lack of compliance and demand.

 Total RECs redeemed were higher this month than the previous month. Redeemed REC was around 1.97 Lakh.

The Total closing balance for the November Trading session was around 11.6 Million RECs.

In case of Solar the lack of demand was also due to release of the draft 3rd Amendment to REC mechanism by CERC last month.

 

Non Solar REC

The demand for Non Solar RECs stood at 1.96 Thousand RECs. The Total Transaction was close to around 294 Million INR. Non Solar REC demand has been steadily increasing from the past three months.

The RECs traded at their floor price of INR 1500.

 

Solar REC

The Solar REC shows a lack lustre demand response, though it was higher than the previous month but still it was less as compared to Supply. Total REC transaction value was around 10.7 Million INR.  The Solar RECs Traded at floor Price of 9300 INR.

 

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