TNERC Proposes Amendment to RPO Regulation
The TNERC notified the draft amendment to the Renewable Purchase Obligation Regulation on 19th May, 2011. The draft resembles the CERC regulations except for few minor changes. The key highlights of the draft regulations are, Captive & Open Access Consumers have
RPO Compliance May be Required More Frequently
After the low trading volumes in April, we strongly advocated quarterly compliance in order to make the REC market functional. Now it has been reported that the CERC has been actively considering such a proposal (See Business Standard article here). An
Significant Jump in REC Trading Volume in May
Review of REC Trading – May 2011 After a slow start, REC Trading picked up this month. There was a significant increase in the volume – combined volumes on both exchanges was 18,500 RECs (representing 18.5 million units). This is
Important Order from CSERC on Metering
An important order was passed by Chattisgarh State Electricity Regulatory Commission (CSERC). Metering in the case of captive units has been an issue in claiming REC. While the CERC procedures are very clear about the requirements - need for a
REC Trading Off to a Slow Start
Further to our analysis of REC trading in April, The Hindu recently covered the same, and so did Business Standard, which mentioned that the REC price declined by 61.5% in just the second trade. We agree with their comment of REC Trading needing a 'booster'. However, we believe that booster will come in the form of more frequent compliance requirement - clearly, if the obligated entity has time till March 2012 to meet the compliance requirement, why bother spending the money now?
Solar RECs: Investor’s perspective and feasibility study
Solar Projects are the flavour of the season. The National Solar Mission (NSM) has laid out an ambitions goal to make India the global leader in solar energy, and plans to develop capacity of 20 GW by 2020. This analysis focuses on the impact and feasibility of Solar RECs as a mechanism to finance and operate solar energy plants. As a significant number of companies and investor consider solar energy opportunities, we present an analysis of how workable solar energy plants are under the REC mechanism. Solar RPO are included in most state regulations RPO regulations in each state require fulfilling a separate Solar RPO. At present the solar RPO requirement ranges from 0% to 0.5% of total electricity consumed. It is expected to go upto 3% by 2022. At the same time, a separate Solar REC will be issued to generators who meet the eligibility criterion. These Solar RECs will have a floor price of Rs 12/kwh and a forbearance price of Rs 17/kwh. Demand for Solar RECs Our analysis suggests that Solar RECs demand will be robust. Majority of the upcoming capacity in solar energy is either through state feed-in tariffs, or though the NSM. In either case, that capacity will not access the REC market. At the same time, there will be robust demand as every obligated entity will also need to buy Solar RECs. REConnect’s analysis suggests that 2011-12 demand of Solar power for RPO requirements will be in excess of 1,300 million units* (roughly translating into 600MW of capacity). As a result, we expect Solar RECs to sell at a high price. *Calculated from CEA data : For a detailed analysis please contact us. Most state regulations provide that in the event for inadequate availability of Solar RECs, the Solar RPO requirement can be fulfilled through Non-Solar RECs. Since Non-solar RECs are significantly cheaper that Solar RECs, this can present issues in the Solar RECs markets – companies may wait for the Solar REC supply to be exhausted so that they can buy non-solar RECs for compliance, and it may result in a downward pressure on Solar REC prices. More clarity is needed on the implementation of this clause is the state RPO regulations.
Lessons to learn from REC Trade in April-2011
India witnessed first ever trade of REC in March 2011 where 424 Non-Solar RECs got traded collectively through Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) and Power Exchange India Limited (PXIL) at Market Clearing Price (MCP) of Rs. 3900/REC and Rs. 2225/REC respectively. Market got super excited seeing REC prices touching forbearance price at IEX. However, the market got little surprise as well as shock in the very next trade session that got executed in April-2011, in which buyers were hard to find at both the Power Exchanges (PXs). Based on its existing strong hold in the market, IEX managed to get 260 Non-Solar RECs from buy side whereas their counterpart – PXIL could not get a single bid from REC buyers! This came as a little surprise to us (REConnect) as well as the market. We were expecting that the market would see a strong dip in the price due to following factors:
- Most of the distribution companies & obligated entities might still be busy settling their financial accounts
India witnesses First Ever trade of REC
As every cricket fan in India would remember March 30, 2011 for a much hyped India-Pak Cricket World Cup semi-final, all the RE stakeholders in the country might remember the same date for some other reasons. This is the day, India witnessed the first ever trade of Renewable Energy Certificate (REC) at Power Exchange platform! We are very proud to announce that REConnect partnered this landmark event in Indian renewable energy history by executing FIRST EVER trade of REC in India at Indian Energy Exchange! A brief snapshot of the total REC trades executed is summarized below:
| Indian Energy Exchange | Power Exchange India Limited | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sell Volume (RECs) - Non Solar | 150 | 274 | 324 |
| Sell Volume (RECs) - Solar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Buy Volume (RECs) – Non Solar | 70377 | 324 | 70701 |
| Buy Volume (RECs) – Solar | 30001 | 3025 | 33026 |
| Market Clearing Price (Rs./REC) -Non Solar | 3900 | 2225 | 3062.5 (avg) |
| Market Clearing Price (Rs./REC) -Solar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Market Clearing Volume (RECs) - Non Solar | 150 | 274 | 424 |
| Market Clearing Volume (RECs) - Solar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Number of Portfolios Participated | 15 | 0 | 0 |
As expected, REC market stared with a supply constrained scenarioand buyers almost paid scarcity price in today’s trade. The same gets reflected from the available supply and demand for REC at both the Power Exchanges viz. Indian Energy Exchange (IEX) and Power Exchange India Limited (PXIL).
Following is the highlight of the REC trades that got executed at IEX and PXIL.
- This can be very well explained by Demand to Supply ratio of Non-Solar RECs at IEX and PXIL.
- Demand to Supply ratio at IEX stood at staggering 469 against just 1.18 at PXIL.
- Very high demand base at IEX and highly constrained supply resulted into high price of non-solar RECs at IEX.
- Low demand base and almost similar number of RECs available for sale at PXIL resulted into a ’moderate’ level of prices at IEX.
REC Implementation Mechanism
Honourable Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) has been very active all throughtout the year for the implementation of REC mechanism in India. The Terms and Conditions for recognition and issuance of Renewable Energy Certificate for Renewable Energy Generation were notified and thereafter had its first amendment also.
Renewable Energy Certificates-An Introduction
As part of the National Mission on Climate Change, a policy to implement Renewable Purchase Obligation (RPO) is being put in place by the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission. The new policy will require Electricity Distributors, large Captive Consumers and large Open Access Consumers to purchase a certain percentage of their total electricity needs from renewable sources. Renewable Energy Certificates: Similar to Carbon Credits Similar to the Carbon Credit Market, a market for meeting the RPO requirements is in the process of being set up in India. Just like at the international level, companies that do not meet their emission reduction targets can purchase Carbon Credits from the market, similarly, Electricity Distributors in India that do not buy the percentage of renewable energy required by law, will have the option to fulfil their obligation by purchase of Renewable Energy Certificates (REC). RECs will be traded at power exchanges in India. Additional Source of Revenue For renewable energy producers – wind farms owners, biomass power plants, small hydro projects, etc, RECs present a very valuable