CERC Determines fees for issuance of Renewable Energy Certificates

In a recent amendment in the Regulation 11 of the REC Regulations, CERC determined the fees and charges payable by the eligible entities for participation in the scheme for, registration, eligibility of certificates, issuance of certificates, and other matters connected there with.  Following are some of the highlights of the regulation:

 

a)      Fees and charges other than those for issuance of certificates would be continued as they are at present until further orders.

 

b)      The fee for issuance of certificate for the period from 22.4.2013 till the date of issuance of next order by the Commission was determined at the rate of Rs 10/certificate.

 

c)      The fee for issuance of certificate for the period from 1.4.2015 till the date of issuance of next order by the Commission was to be regularized at the rate of Rs 4/certificate.

 

d)      The fees for issuance of certificate for the period from 1.1.2017 until further orders is determined to be Rs 2/- per certificate.

 

The regulation can be accessed here.

GERC Determines tariff for small hydro power projects for FY 2016-17

The GERC (Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission) on 14th December 2016 finalized the tariff for Renewable Sources of Energy (small, mini & micro hydro projects). The tariff will be applicable for the projects to be commissioned during the year 2016-17.

Previously in the September 2016, the commission notified a draft for the determination of the RE tariff and invited comments and suggestion. After considering all the submitted comments and suggestions the commission has come out with the final tariff. The brief details of the tariff finalized are provided in the table below:

Wheeling of power for third party sale from the small hydro projects will be allowed on payment of transmission charges, wheeling charges and losses of energy fed into the grid, as applicable to normal open access consumers.

The small hydro projects who desire to wheel electricity under third party open access has to pay 50% of cross subsidy surcharge as applicable to normal open access consumers. Also, additional surcharge as determined by the Commission from time to time shall also be applicable for selling power to third party under open access.

The regulation can be accessed here.

REC Trade result December 2016

This month trading saw good results with respect to the Non solar REC clearance overall. The demand for solar REC saw marginal improvement in respect to the last month. The total transaction value stood at 74.4 Crores in comparison to 53.6 Crores last month.

This month saw fall in the total issuance where the demand decreased by 4.60Lakhs in comparison to November. Though there had been significant increase in the total REC issuance due to the impact of CERC’s 4th amendment to RECs regulations.

Analysis of Trading:

Non Solar – The clearing ratio stood at 3.19% and 2.81% in both IEX and PXIL, with a significant increase of 61% in the no. of REC’s traded as compared to last month

Solar – Clearing ratio stood at 0.85% and 0.53% in IEX and PXIL respectively, with a dip of 23% in total demand of Solar RECs as compared to November.

 

 

 

Solar Power Tariff hits new low

The solar power tariffs has hit a new low.  In a Solar Energy Corporation of India’s auction of rooftop solar power projects, Gurgaon-based Amplus Energy Solutions quoted a tariff of Rs. 3 /unit defeating the previous low of Rs 4 /unit for a solar park in Rajasthan by a quarter. The rooftop projects will be installed on buildings of NGOs, educational institutes, hospitals, trusts and notfor-profit companies in these states.

The lowest tariff quote for these projects is same as average tariff offered by state-run generation utility NTPC for power from its coal-fired plants and nearly half of tariffs charged by some private power producers.

Till now, a solar project at Badhla in Rajasthan held the record for the lowest tariff at Rs 4 per unit in the solar park category. The lowest tariff before that was Rs 4.34 per unit, quoted by Fortum India in January .

Telangana Regulations for connectivity with the Grid and sale of electricity from the Rooftop Solar Photovoltaic

Telangana recently came up with its net metering regulation for connectivity with the Grid and sale of electricity from the Rooftop Solar Photovoltaic. This Regulation will be applicable to the distribution licensee, an eligible consumer and a third party owner of a Roof Top Solar PV System in the state of Telangana.

 

Following are some of the highlights of the regulations:

 

  • An eligible consumer shall install the grid connected Rooftop Solar PV System of the rated capacity as specified in this Regulation.
  • The tariff payable to an eligible consumer under the net-metering shall be the average power purchase cost of a Distribution Licensee.
  • The net metering facility, as far as possible, of an eligible consumer shall be in three phase service.
  • A single phase consumer is also eligible for net metering up to 3 KW.
  • The capacity of a Rooftop Solar PV System to be installed at the premises of an eligible consumer shall not be less than one Kilo Watt peak (1kWp) and a maximum of One (1) MWp.
  • The quantum of electricity consumed by an Eligible Consumer from the Rooftop Solar PV System under the Net Metering Arrangement shall qualify towards his compliance of Solar RPPO, if such Consumer is an Obligated Entity.
  • The quantum of electricity consumed by the Eligible Consumer from the Rooftop Solar PV System under the Net Metering arrangement shall, if such Consumer is not an Obligated Entity, qualify towards meeting the Solar RPPO of the Distribution Licensee.
  • The unadjusted surplus Units of the solar energy purchased by the Distribution Licensee under the provisions of sub-Para 10.3 shall qualify towards meeting its Solar RPPO.
  • The Rooftop Solar PV System under the net metering arrangement, whether self- owned or third party owned installed on the Eligible Consumer’s premises, shall be exempted from Transmission Charge, Transmission Loss, Wheeling Charge, Wheeling Loss, Cross Subsidy Surcharge and Additional Surcharge.
  • The Rooftop Solar PV System Developer shall retain the entire proceeds of CDM benefits in the first year after the date of commercial operation of the generating station.

 

The regulation can be accessed here.

REC Market demand & supply forecast for FY 16-17

Every year, around the mid-year mark we forecast the demand and supply in the RECs markets for the remain-der of the financial year. The second half of the FY is the busy period for the RECs markets as most transactions take place in this period. As an example, of the 43 lakh non-solar RECs sold last year, 9 lakh were sold between Apr – Sept 2015 and 34 lakh were sold from Oct 15 – March 2016 (21% and 79% split between the two halves of the year).
FY 16-17 is characterized by several changes in the RECs markets :-

  • Significantly higher demand compared to same pe-riod last year for Non-solar RECs (non-solar RECs de-mand is up by 51% compared to the same period last year, ie April to November)
  • Drastic reduction in RECs issuances due to impact of CERC’s 4th amendment to RECs regulations
  • Impeding price change in the short term (April 2017) particularly for solar RECs
  • Changing regulations in light of the national tariff policy (NTP). This will result in much higher RPO and removal of exemption for co-gen. However, due to inconsistencies in the NTP with the Electricity Act 2003 we expect the impact of these changes to be visible only in the next FY.

Overall, we expect demand to remain robust for Non-solar RECs (but not for Solar RECs). Increased demand, combined with significantly lower issuances of RECs will result in much improved clearing ratio for projects that are holding RECs.
Demand Comparison
As mentioned above, demand for non-solar RECs has been robust compared to the same period last year. As of Novem-ber, demand is up by 51% compared to the same period last year.
We expect this trend to continue, driven by several factors –

  • Several regulatory commissions have given out orders for RPO compliance during the year – this is likely to result in significant demand in the coming months. Notable examples are Maharashtra and Kerala.
  • Private Discom’s, which are large buyers, have so far re-mained marginal participants in the market. This is expected to change in the coming months.
  • CPP and open access consumers will continue to be ma-jor buyers, with several new participants coming into the market in the coming months.

Demand for Solar RECs this year compared to the same pe-riod last year has been down by 1%, or essentially the same. However, we believe that by end of FY 16-17, there is a pos-sibility that the total demand totals less than that of the pre-vious year.

This is because the current floor prices are valid only till March 31, 2017. The general expectation is of a small correction in the price of Non-solar RECs and a signifi-cant correction in the price of solar RECs. Besides this, the vintage multiplier (of 2.66x) currently in place will also expire. This may result in

(a) Significant price reduc-tion of Solar RECs,

(b) a major jump in S-RECs inventory as existing S-RECs are adjusted to the new price, and

(c) drastic reduction in S-RECs issuance from April 2017 on-wards.
These changes in the near future make market forecast-ing for solar RECs a perilous task. Our approach assess demand in the same basis as mentioned above, but moderates it by a significant factor as closer to March obligated entities are expected to hold off purchases till new prices take effect.

RECs Supply
Two factors have resulted in reduced supply of RECs :-

 

  • Several projects have existed the RECs mechanism in favor of green power sale/ state tariff PPA or captives as RECs are no longer a viable mechanism
  • Impact of the 4th amendment to RECs regulations by CERC

As a result, Non-solar RECs issuance is down by 38%  compared to the same period last year, and Solar RECs issu-ances down by 41%. Going forward, we expect the non-solar RECs issuance to remain subdued compared to last year (as a big impact of the 4th amendment has been on sugar co-gen project which see issuances starting from November to April or May). For the full year FY16-17 we forecast Non-solar RECs issuance to be 35% below the last year number. The reduction in Solar RECs issuance is due to higher issu-ance last year as a result of solar vintage multipliers, and time-lag this year as the documentation related to 4th amendment is completed. Overall, we expect the year to end with roughly 30% lower issuance compared to last year.

Demand and supply
We have forecast demand under three scenarios –

(1) Base case – demand from states that have enforced RPO in the past or have current orders for RPO enforcement are in-cluded. Even for such states, a probably of demand material-izing is applied to the total RPO gap;

(2) Medium enforce-ment – expected demand from states that have on-going RPO assessment are added to the demand in scenario 1;

(3) High enforcement – this scenario envisages that most states will take some action towards RPO enforcement. Under this scenario, even those states that have not enforced RPO regulations till date are expected to initiate action, albeit the expected demand from such states is moderated by assign-ing a low probability (20-30%).

Conclusion:

Looking at the overall picture after the demand-supply forecasting exercise shows the following:

  • Non-solar RECs markets are showing a significant improvement. Demand is up by 51% compared to last year, and this year may become the first one in which demand exceeds issuance during the year. This is a major development towards the revival of the RECs markets.
  • Solar RECs market however is lagging behind. Demand has failed to increase this year, and may actually be lower than last year. This is driven primarily by expectation of drastic price decrease in April 2017. Only possibility of this scenario changing is if a large demand comes Discom’s.

 

Karnataka defers implementation of Forecasting & Scheduling regulation

The  F&S regulation was notified on 31st May 2016 by Karnataka Electricity Regulatory Commission, with 6 months warming period given to all stakeholders, after which the commercial settlement scheme was to be implemented from December this year. Karnataka had become the first state in India to come out with final regulations for Forecasting and Scheduling.

However, KERC has deferred the implementation of the regulation by six months. Wind and solar generators will now be required to comply with the regulations from 1 June 2017.

The notification can be accessed here.

REC Trade Result November 2016

This month trading saw stagnant results in respect to the demand for Non-Solar REC’s. The demand for solar REC saw marginal improvement in respect to the last month. The total transaction value stood at 53.6 Crores in comparison to 50.6 Crores last month.

 

Analysis of Trading:

 

Non Solar – The clearing ratio stood at 1.85% and 2% in both IEX and PXIL, with a significant increase of 2.25% in the no. of REC’s traded as compared to last month

Solar – Clearing ratio stood at 1.13 % and 0.96% in IEX and PXIL respectively, with an increase of 17.5% in total demand of Solar RECs as compared to last month.

 

This month also saw significant increase in total REC issuance, where the demand increased by 9 lakh in comparison to October. This could be attributed due to the impact of CERC’s 4th amendment to RECs regulations.

Himachal Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Commission Determines Additional Surcharge

HPERC in its recent order determined the Additional Surcharge on the consumers availing Short Term Open Access Consumers. The Commission earlier approved the rate of additional surcharge as 78paise/kWh in its order dated 18th Feb, 2016.

The HPSEBL has, vide the present petition, requested the Commission to approve the Additional Surcharge of 80 paise per unit for STOA.

After reviewing all the comments and suggestion from the stakeholders and objectors the commission deter-mines the Additional surcharge to be 49.16paise/kWh. The graph below depicts the change in additional sur-charge over the past three control periods :-

The regulation can be accessed here.

 

Himachal Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Com-mission Determines APPC for 2016-17

The Himachal Pradesh Electricity Regulatory Com-mission (HPERC) recently came up with its order on the Average Pooled Power Purchase Cost (APPC) for the financial year 2016-17.The definition of APPC followed by HPERC is in line with the CERC defini-tion and can be read as:

“Pooled Cost of Purchase means The weighted average pooled price at which the distribution licensee has purchased the electricity including  cost of self-generation, if any, in the previous year from all the energy suppliers long-term and short-term, but excluding those based on renewable en-ergy sources, as the case may be.”

The APPC for the financial year 16-17 has been deter-mined as Rs. 4.16 per Unit, by the commission which shall continue for further period with such variation or modification as may be ordered by the Commission for the next financial year.

The APPC for FY 16-17 is 8.23% higher as compared to the APPC of FY 15-16.The graph given below depicts the APPC’s determined by HPERC over last four years and how the APPC rates have in-creased over the past three years :

 

 

The regulation can be accessed here.

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